Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • China
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue January 25, 2022

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - China by David R. Kotok (Jan 2022)


    I asked my colleague Matt McAleer to calculate the weight of the total China stock market exposure in our International ETF portfolio strategy. He sent back: “No direct exposure. Pick up an allocation thru ACWX. We are 2% vs. benchmark 8%”.  


  • Ukraine
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Mon January 24, 2022

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Ukraine by David R. Kotok


    There’s a lot to know about the current situation in Ukraine. So below is a link to a multifaceted discussion about Ukraine and the geopolitical risk elements there, including the Turkey connection. Many thanks to the Foreign Policy Research Institute for their ongoing contribution to the…


  • Game plan! – Cumberland Advisors Special Update
     Author(s): Matthew C. McAleer | Mon January 24, 2022

    Cumberland-Advisors-Special-Update-Jan-24-2022


    Cumberland Advisors Special Update
  • Sunday with Beveridge Curves
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun January 23, 2022

    Sunday with Beveridge Curves


    The link below takes you to Cumberland’s website, where 36 slides depict various United States labor force metrics, before and during the pandemic period. We’ve used the Beveridge curve concept to create the slides.

     


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Jan 17, 2022 - Jan 21, 2022)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sat January 22, 2022

    Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Jan 17, 2022 - Jan 21, 2022)



  • "Something Weird": a Brent Donnelly Guest Commentary
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri January 21, 2022

    Something Weird, a Brent Donnelly Guest Commentary


    Brent Donnelly, president of Spectra Markets, and a Camp Kotok attendee, sent along the following piece with the note, “Some alarming charts for you today. Keep an open mind on the US economy in 2022.”

     


  • The Fed & The Fires!
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Thu January 20, 2022

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - The Fed & The Fires by David R. Kotok with guest Bob Bunting


    When she was testifying at her US Senate confirmation hearing, Fed Governor Lael Brainard fielded questions about the Fed and its “climate change” policy. This is a hot subject in the monetary economics and central banking world. One side of the debate says that the Fed should keep out of this…


  • Covid Update with Dr. Eric Topol & More
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue January 18, 2022

    Covid Update with Dr. Eric Topol & More by David R. Kotok


    In a recent interview with Dr. Bob Wachter on the UCSF program Medical Grand Rounds, Dr. Eric Topol discusses Omicron, treatments, and vaccines, policy, the CDC, Long Covid, etc. This is an extensive and clearly detailed conversation with a world-renowned expert. Dr.


  • Mourning Patagonia
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun January 16, 2022

    Cumberland Advisors Commentary – Patagonia by David R. Kotok


    My heart grew heavy when seeing/reading the National Geographic photo essay about the fires in Patagonia. Examination of the details made it weigh a ton. “An imported tree fuels Patagonia’s terrifying summer fires,” https://www.nationalgeographic.com/environment/article/how-fear-of-summer-came-…


  • Bonds & Vigilantes
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Thu January 13, 2022

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Bonds & Vigilantes by David R. Kotok


    ​In the past week, we have watched a bond market adjustment. For a price change, the movement was dramatic, as bonds such as the 30-year US Treasury benchmark bond lost 10% of its market price when rising rates caused a market repricing of outstanding issuance.  We nickname the market…


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch