Insights
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun April 21, 2024
There are rapidly changing geopolitical events in the Middle East and Persian Gulf regions plus extraordinary political events in Washington as Speaker Johnson advances a bipartisan effort to pass defense related legislation. The political extremism is apparent among the far left caucus in the…
Author(s): Norman Dempsey, MBA | Sat April 20, 2024
The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review + Digest is a compendium of news, commentary, and opinion from or of interest to our team. These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We may include older and/or guest…
Author(s): Patricia Healy, CFA | Wed April 17, 2024
Interest rates and inflation are still up, but the Fed has paused and indicated that easing will be the next step. However, given better-than-expected economic data, the estimates of rate cuts are fewer and farther in the future. The stock market performed well in Q1, with expectations of lower…
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun April 14, 2024
CNBC offered this headline: “Biden says U.S. economy is world’s best.
Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Mon April 8, 2024
During its March FOMC meeting, the Committee held its target rate range constant at 5.25%–5.5% and released a new Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), which reaffirmed that it expected to make three rate cuts in 2024. Not only did the projections change, but it appeared that more of the…
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun April 7, 2024
Here’s more on the Deficits, Debt and Lame Ducks. Note that since our previous writings the No Labels party has announced it will not field a presidential candidate. For my two earlier pieces, here are the links: “Deficits & Lame Duck POTUS,” https://www.cumber.com/market-commentary/deficits…
Author(s): David W. Berson, Ph.D. | Thu April 4, 2024
The key points you should know. The economy continued to grow at a solid pace through the first quarter. The job market remains tight, but perhaps with some signs of slowing. Inflation, while down substantially from a couple of years ago, remains too high. The Federal Reserve…
Author(s): Bob Brusca, Chief Economist at FAO Economics (Intro by David R. Kotok) | Wed April 3, 2024
My friend Bob Brusca (https://robertbrusca.substack.com/), Chief Economist at FAO Economics, kindly gave permission for me to share the following piece with readers.
Author(s): Daniel Himelberger | Tue April 2, 2024
After a sharp decline in yield during the fourth quarter of 2023, Treasury yields rose during the first quarter of 2024 as “higher for longer” concerns reentered the market and rate-cut expectations declined from six 25-basis-point cuts to three. The biggest increase was seen in the 3-year,…
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun March 31, 2024
Here’s my recent discussion of the deficit and debt: “Deficits & Lame Duck POTUS,” https://www.cumber.com/market-commentary/deficits-lame-duck-potus