Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • LIBOR’s Obituary: SOFR, BSBY Arrival
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue January 11, 2022

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - LIBOR’s Obituary- SOFR, BSBY Arrival by David R. Kotok


    Sebastian Pellejero and Mark Maurer used their December 30, 2021, Wall Street Journal column to discuss some of the history of LIBOR, and now, its end.


  • Jobs and the Fed
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Mon January 10, 2022

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Jobs and the Fed by Robert Eisenbeis, Ph. D.


    Markets posted a loss in the first week of January, driven by several factors and data releases. Release of the FOMC’s minutes for its December meeting led market participants to believe that the Fed was even more likely to embark on removing its policy accommodation sooner rather than later.…


  • Samarra
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun January 9, 2022

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Samarra by David R. Kotok


    Writing in the early days after Omicron’s emergence, Lyric Hughes Hale, editor-in-chief of EconVue and host of the Hale Report podcast, considered COVID and China’s Covid response and its shift toward isolationism. She mulled whether China is merely deferring the inevitable spread of…


  • Q4 2021 Credit Commentary – It Feels Like a Never-Ending Story
     Author(s): Patricia Healy, CFA | Fri January 7, 2022

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Q4 2021 Credit Commentary – It Feels Like a Never-Ending Story by Patricia Healy, CFA


    The intro to the credit commentary we wrote last quarter could be put right here, with Omicron inserted in place of Delta – the latter variant had threatened our recove


  • The Fed & Markets
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Thu January 6, 2022

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - The Fed & Markets by David R. Kotok


    My colleague Bob Eisenbeis has written about the forthcoming Federal Reserve appointments and about the FDIC and how important these positions are to the financial community of the United States and the rest of the world. Here’s his discussion:  https://www.cumber.com/market-commentary…


  • Financial Appointments
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Wed January 5, 2022

    Financial Appointments by Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D.


    Seldom, if ever, has a president had the opportunity in the first year of a term to make so many appointments that may significantly impact the direction of monetary and financial regulatory policy.


  • Earnings Season & Statistical Discrepancy #4
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue January 4, 2022

    Cumberland Advisors Guest Commentary - Earnings Season & Statistical Discrepancy #4 by TLR Wire & David R. Kotok


    As we enter 2022, and as we are about to start the “earnings season” with reports of the Q4 and full year of 2021, we also continue to examine the “statistical discrepancy” between the estimates of GDP (gross domestic product) and GDI (gross domestic income).


  • Vaccines, American History, Financial Markets
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun January 2, 2022

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Vaccines, American History, Financial Markets by David R. Kotok


    “To grandmother’s house we go,” says the song. In the US, airports bustled (when flights not canceled) over the holidays. Families gathered. Some heeded the Omicron warning, some not. ’Twas the season. Now we are watching Omicron cases surge.  


  • Taxable Total Return 4th Quarter Review
     Author(s): Daniel Himelberger | Thu December 30, 2021

    Q4 2021 Review Total Return Taxable Fixed Income by Daniel Himelberger


    The Treasury curve flattened during the fourth quarter of 2021, with short-term Treasury yields rising precipitously while longer Treasury yields were slightly lower.


  • Boosters
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue December 28, 2021

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - "Boosters" by David R. Kotok


    Readers have asked us about boosters.   We know that the mRNA COVID vaccine boosters help reduce the severity of disease caused by Omicron and Delta and other variants, known or unknown. The boosters don’t keep us from infection, but they do keep most people who have received…


 

 

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Plutarch