Insights
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.
Author(s): Bob Bunting | Sat December 22, 2018
Two Hard-Hitting Hurricane Seasons
Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Sat December 22, 2018
The Treasury market had priced in a 25-basis-point increase in the FOMC’s target range for federal funds prior to the FOMC’s December 18–19 meeting. The Committee was faced with essentially three policy options: Pause, deliver on the 25-basis-point increase and signal a pause, or deliver on the…
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sat December 22, 2018
We constantly get email defending the Trump-Navarro Trade War policy. The critics outnumber the defenders, but we can observe that both sides of this debate are digging in their heels.
Author(s): Leo Chen, Ph.D. | Thu December 20, 2018
From the trade war to the Fed, the fourth quarter of 2018 has been full of uncertainty, which is markets’ least favorite scenario.
Author(s): William Witherell, Ph.D. | Wed December 19, 2018
As 2018 draws to a close, economic growth in almost all economies, including that of the US, is moderating but is still expansionary and in most cases remains above long-term trends.
Author(s): Leo Chen, Ph.D. | Sat December 15, 2018
We discussed the goal of leveraged ETFs previously – to provide daily returns that match the desired ratio over the underlying index (https://www.cumber.com/margin-trading-vs-leveraged-etfs/).
Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Fri December 14, 2018
Back in the 1980s Professor Edward Kane coined the term regulatory dialectic to capture the dynamics of how regulated financial institutions found innovative ways to circumvent regulations designed to restrict their behavior. For example, banks adopted the one-bank holding company form in the late…
Author(s): | Wed December 12, 2018
Gary Shilling is an icon of our finance industry. His monthly missive is priceless. Fred Rossi edits and researches. The work product is extraordinary. We thank them for permission to share the December monthly in full. The trigger for our request was their thorough examination of the climate-…
Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sun December 9, 2018
The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team. These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We also include older commentaries that our editors have…
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sat December 8, 2018
Peter Boockvar summarized a view of this Pearl Harbor Day employment report. We agree with him.