Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • May FOMC Minutes: Patience
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Wed May 29, 2019



    In advance of the release of the FOMC’s May minutes, speculation in the press and by financial market participants was that the Committee might cut the federal funds target rate. The main line of conjecture centered on how long the FOMC could continue to miss its inflation target on the downside…


  • Memorial Day Reflections
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue May 28, 2019



    “[On Saturday, May 25,] more than 980 cadets became army second lieutenants at West Point’s football stadium. America’s Vice-President, Mike Pence, told them President Trump has proposed a $750bn defense budget for 2020 and said the US ‘is once again embracing our role as the leader of the free…


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (May 20, 2019 - May 24, 2019)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Mon May 27, 2019



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team. These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We also include older commentaries that our editors have determined may be…


  • 5G, Huawei, Trade War, Shooting War
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri May 24, 2019



    From the onset of the Trump trade war we’ve argued that the broad-brush tariffs advocated by Peter Navarro were damaging and that a very targeted approach on security and intellectual property would have been better. Finally, the tariff fight with China is being defined over 5G, which is where…


  • Finally, Some Positive Trade News
     Author(s): William Witherell, Ph.D. | Wed May 22, 2019



    Toward the end of a week during which global markets were pummeled by a sudden worsening in the prospects for a trade agreement between China and the US, President Trump announced two positive developments in US trade relations with our allies.


  • “Nations, Wars and Liberal Democracy” by George Friedman
     Author(s): George Friedman | Tue May 21, 2019



    My friend George Friedman is an internationally known geopolitical forecaster and strategist on international affairs and the founder and chairman of Geopolitical Futures (https://geopoliticalfutures.com/).


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (May 13, 2019 - May 17, 2019)
     Author(s): | Sun May 19, 2019



    Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (May 13, 2019 - May 17, 2019) May 18, 2019


  • Tariffs – Macroeconomic Versus Microeconomic Effects: In the Long Run We Are All Dead
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Sat May 18, 2019



    Robert Brusca of FAO-Economics details some interesting information on US trade and the likely impacts that the current US-China trade war could have on prices.[1]


  • Robert Brusca Ph.D. on Tariffs, Trade, and the Fed
     Author(s): Robert Brusca, Ph.D. | Wed May 15, 2019



    My longtime friend and veteran international economist, Bob Brusca, has given us permission to publish his superb discussion of the trade war effects.


  • An Update on Markets from Matt McAleer
     Author(s): Matthew McAleer | Tue May 14, 2019



    This week's short video discusses current market conditions and how we are positioning portfolios. We didn't produce an update on Friday May 10th so we're including our thoughts on last week as well as today, Monday May 13, 2019.

    Global trade dominated today’s headlines as the markets…


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch