Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • Cry for Argentina
     Author(s): William Witherell, Ph.D. | Tue August 20, 2019



    Argentina’s primary election on Sunday, August 11, surprised everyone and shocked markets as the current president, Mauricio Macri, was defeated by 15.6 percentage points by the left-wing Peronist candidate, Alberto Fernandez. Macri now appears to have only a very slim chance to win the October…


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Aug 12, 2019 - Aug 16, 2019)
     Author(s): | Sun August 18, 2019



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team. These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We also include older commentaries that our editors have determined may be…


  • Report from Leen’s Lodge (Camp Kotok)
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri August 16, 2019



    The 50-person gathering at Leen’s Lodge encompassed diverse political views, financial and economic specialties, and asset class focused from cannabis to currency trading, real estate to debt of all types, stock markets and ETFs, derivatives and futures, and more. Over $1 trillion in managed…


  • Gorsuch & Fake News
     Author(s): David R. kotok | Wed August 14, 2019



    At our Camp Kotok gathering in Maine, we often discussed truth and fact checking versus the spreading practice of political lies and fakery.  We will have more to say about the gathering. For now here is a case study about truth and lies.


  • Inflection Point?
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue August 6, 2019



    I’ve known Tom Kean, former governor of New Jersey and co-chair of the 911 Commission, for 40 years, and served in several positions in his administration when he was governor. He represents the greatness of the Republican Party, which has produced folks like him and his father Bob Kean and…


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (July 29, 2019 - Aug 02, 2019)
     Author(s): | Sun August 4, 2019



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team. These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We also include older commentaries that our editors have determined may be…


  • Cumberland Advisors Guest Commentary -  Trump, Trade, Taxes, Troubles.
     Author(s): David R. Kotok & Robert Brusca, Ph.D. | Sat August 3, 2019




  • Markets During Apollo 11
     Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA | Fri August 2, 2019



    This past week we celebrated the 50th anniversary of the Apollo 11 moon landing. Remarkably, only 1/3 of Americans today were alive when that happened.


  • To Pass or Not to Pass (Part 3)
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Fri August 2, 2019



    The FOMC decided to throw a pass by cutting rates; but given the market’s response, it looks like they were tackled for a loss. In Woody Hayes’ parlance, the one positive of a forward pass turned into a negative.


  • To Pass or Not to Pass? (Part 2)
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Wed July 31, 2019



    In our previous discussion of the three options facing the FOMC – raise the funds-rate target, hold the rate steady, or cut the target rate – we argued that there were risks and potentially negative consequences associated with each.


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch