Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • Geopolitical Risks in Emerging Market Equity ETFs
     Author(s): William Witherell, Ph.D. | Wed March 6, 2019



    Last week included several dramatic examples of unexpected geopolitical developments in emerging markets: Two nuclear powers in South Asia, India, and Pakistan, clashed and appeared to be on the brink of full-scale war; and the US-North Korea summit in Hanoi ended badly, with Trump walking out…


  • Everything You Should Know About the Debt Ceiling
     Author(s): Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget | Tue March 5, 2019



    Below is a full description and teaching aid. We are making it available to all readers. This thoughtful discussion was prepared by the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (Washington based, nonpartisan, civic 501c3). We are supporters of CRFB as they work diligently on a thankless task.…


  • Shutdown #7 Responses
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sat March 2, 2019



    We thank readers for their serious comments in response to our “Shutdown #7” discussion of regulation. For those who missed it, the link is https://www.cumber.com/shutdown-and-markets-7/.


  • Considering China
     Author(s): William Witherell, Ph.D. | Wed February 27, 2019



    China stocks surged Monday following Trump’s announcement that he will be delaying US tariffs on China. Prospects for a trade agreement between China and the US are now looking very good. It is evident that both sides need a positive resolution and are willing to compromise. Last year, China’s…


  • Cuba-Venezuela-Maduro
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue February 26, 2019




  • The January 2019 Fed Minutes
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Sat February 23, 2019



    Attention has turned to what extra gems of information might be contained in the release of the FOMC’s January 2019 minutes about the future path of policy. Comments have focused on the Fed’s balance sheet, the consequences of its runoff for financial markets, and what the Fed’s policies might…


  • Shutdown #7
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Thu February 21, 2019



    Jim Bianco, my friend and regular fishing buddy at Camp Kotok, penned a note on “a side effect of the government shutdown.” Readers know we have done a six-part series on the shutdown, and we have been hugely critical of the political process, with both Democrats and Republicans equally as our…


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Feb 11, 2019 - Feb 15, 2019)
     Author(s): | Mon February 18, 2019



    Cumberland Advisors Week in Review

    (Feb 11, 2019 - Feb 15, 2019)

    February 16, 2019


  • Taxing Wealth Instead of Income?
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Thu February 14, 2019



    With the desire to finance both an increasing deficit and an increase in government services, politicians are searching far and wide for funds. Increasingly, proposals are surfacing to tax wealth rather than income as the means to fund pet projects. The proposals attract followers since unequal…


  • The SALT (State and Local Taxes) Conundrum
     Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA, Patricia Healy, CFA, & Gabriel Hament | Wed February 13, 2019



    There have been headlines recently describing the drop in state tax revenues versus forecasts for some of the higher-tax states such as California, New York, and New Jersey. Part of the falloff is due to an exodus of higher-income residents from high-tax states, such as the ones above, for…


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch