Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • 2Q2019 Review: US Equity ETF
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue June 18, 2019



    Market volatility in Q2 of 2019 was driven by three distinct elements: (1) trade war and tariffs with China, on and off with Mexico, deferred temporarily with Europe, and festering with others; (2) economic indicators like details in the employment report pointing to a slowdown in growth; and (3…


  • Turandot
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri June 14, 2019



    Giacomo Puccini set China as the venue for his famous opera Turandot. Opera buffs will know it well.
  • What Does “Data-Dependent” Mean?
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Thu June 13, 2019



    Markets and pundits were hyperventilating this past week over the prospect that the FOMC might cut the fed funds rate at its June or perhaps at its July meeting, driven by concerns that the economy might be slowing, as reflected in the disappointing employment report and the prospects for the…


  • 2% or 2% or -0.2%?
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue June 11, 2019



    The bond market is currently a puzzle derived from an enigma influenced by an anomaly. Or is it?  Here are some bullets.


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Jun 03, 2019 - Jun 07, 2019)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Tue June 11, 2019



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team. These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We also include older commentaries that our editors have determined may be…


  • Peter Navarro
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sat June 8, 2019



    “We’ve told Mexico the tariffs go on, and I mean it too. And I’m very happy with it. And a lot of people, senators included, they have no idea what they’re talking about when it comes to tariffs. They have absolutely no idea. When you have the money, when you have the product, when you have the…


  • More on Tariffs
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Fri June 7, 2019



    Assessing the impact of the series of US tariff changes in 2018 and 2019 is difficult. The tariffs have been revised and updated over time. Indeed, MarketsInsider lists about 27 tariff-related events and announcements between March 2018, when President Trump announced tariffs on steel and…


  • Jingoism & Rare Earths
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Thu June 6, 2019



    “The Trump Administration last year recognized the importance of rare earths elements – albeit as an after-thought – when it pulled them off a list of Chinese imports to be hit with US tariffs. China mines about 80% of the 17 elements that appear on the Periodic Table, and has a lock on about 90…


  • EU Election: Negative But Could Have Been Worse
     Author(s): William Witherell, Ph.D. | Tue June 4, 2019



    The results of the European Union’s Parliamentary elections, held the last weekend in May, were welcomed by investors as being not as bad as many had feared.


  • Fed and Climate Change
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri May 31, 2019



    My note today puzzles over the Fed’s sitting on the sidelines while other central bankers act together to mitigate a growing risk to national economies and the global financial system.


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch