Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.
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- Florida Covid Update for Memorial Day Weekend
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Thu May 26, 2022
Several readers have asked about the Covid surge in Florida. For Cumberland‘s office status, if you are planning a visit, please call for the most current status and office protocols. We are open with a blended schedule of in-person and some work-from-home. We…
- China’s Sharp Economic Slowdown
Author(s): William H. Witherell, Ph.D. | Tue May 24, 2022
In April, business activity in China slowed dramatically, following a contraction in March. This development is of global importance to policymakers and investors. The Chinese economy is the world’s second largest, behind only the US economy. While China had limited trade in the 1970s and early…
- Why Is the Market in Bear Territory?
Author(s): | Mon May 23, 2022
Commentators on the current state of equity markets have no shortage of explanations. Here is a brief list, which is by no means complete:
- Ukraine: What's Next? - Part 2
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun May 22, 2022
Today, we feature the second installment of the virtual and in-person series, “Ukraine: What’s Next?” sponsored by the University of South Florida and the Global Interdependence Center, in partnership with Cumberland Advisors and others. See https://www.youtube.com/…
- What Is The Neutral Real Interest Rate? What About Munis?
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed May 18, 2022
We are going to open this commentary with five of the slides used at the April 27 USF-GIC virtual (and in person) conference on the Russia-Ukraine war and its impacts. The five-part series, “Ukraine: What’s Next?” https://www.eventbrite.com/e/ukraine-whats-next-tickets-333787847437, is a…
- Ukraine: What's Next? - Part 1
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun May 15, 2022
Manatee Educational Television (METV) and the University of South Florida are in the process of airing a five-part series, “Ukraine: What’s Next?” Cumberland Advisors is a sponsor and supporter, and the Global Interdependence Center is a program partner.
- GIC Long Covid Conference Virtual & In-person
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Thu May 12, 2022
On Thursday, May 19, 2022, the Global Interdependence Center and the Solve Long Covid Initiative will offer a one-day conference, “Long Covid: Research, Policy and Economic Impact.” This signature event offers attendees the opportunity to learn about the latest…
- Two Links & a Rant: Tax-Free Munis, Quantitative Tightening, & Trolls in the Media
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed May 11, 2022
We’re talking bonds and the Fed today. Here are two links and a rant. The first link is the May 6 video by my colleague of 20-plus years, John Mousseau, who happens to be the Director of Fixed Income as well as President and CEO at Cumberland. Here’s the link: https://youtu.be/c9eQ2z121bg. …
- A Bond Metric for Stock Markets?
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Mon May 9, 2022
Today we are going to look at the credit spread of a Bloomberg intermediate-term BBB-rated bond cohort which is determined and priced AFTER removing the bonds of energy, metals, and mining. The series from Bloomberg is “BBB 5–10yr ex Energy, Metals, and Mining (H33730US Index).”…
- Life Expectancy Falls Two Years in a Row
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun May 8, 2022
In an important new study, “Changes in Life Expectancy Between 2019 and 2021: United States and 19 Peer Countries,” the authors have set forth an alarming result of the Covid pandemic, which may have deep implications for US economic growth. Here’s the link: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.…