Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • November CPI
     Author(s): David W. Berson, Ph.D. | Wed December 11, 2024

    November CPI


    CPI inflation up as expected, with declines having leveled off.

    The overall November Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.3 percent for the month, as did the core CPI (removing the volatile food and energy components). The 12-month trend rate for the overall CPI ticked higher to 2.7…


  • November Employment Report
     Author(s): David W. Berson, Ph.D. | Fri December 6, 2024

    November Employment Report


    The weather/strike rebound in jobs as expected.


  • France, Turmoil, Credit Spreads
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Mon December 2, 2024

    France, Turmoil, Credit Spreads


    France, Turmoil, Credit Spreads

     

    The political disruption in France has implications for the euro and for world financial markets. France is the second largest economy in Europe; Germany is first. 

     


  • October PCE inflation as expected – too hot for the Fed to ease or still OK?
     Author(s): David W. Berson, Ph.D. | Wed November 27, 2024

    October PCE Inflation


    The monthly increases for inflation in October as measured by the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index came in exactly as the market expected – up by 0.2 percent for the overall index and by 0.3 percent for the core (removing the volatile food and energy components) index. These…


  • Tiptoe Through the Tulips
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Sat November 9, 2024

    As was viewed by many as likely, the FOMC cut its target rate by another 25 basis points in the wake of the election results and the very large positive market response to the election.


     


  • Yields — The Bump from Trump
     Author(s): John Mousseau | Fri November 8, 2024

    According to pre-election polls, many believed the results would be too close to call.  Instead, it resulted in a clear mandate.


    According to pre-election polls, many believed the results would be too close to call.  Instead, it resulted in a clear mandate.


  • This Week's FOMC Meeting
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Mon November 4, 2024

    Upcoming FOMC Meeting


     

    The FOMC this week will go into its meeting with a wealth of new economic data that should be significant for its decision. More specifically, the committee will have the new readings on Q3 real GDP, the September’s jobs situation, and the September PCE and CPI inflation indices. In…


  • Deficits & Interest Rates
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed October 30, 2024

    Deficits & Interest Rates


    There are many factors which impact interest rates, and the federal deficit and the total federal debt are only two of them. 


  • More Volatility?
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Wed October 23, 2024

    Blue graphic that has a photo of the author and a title


    In a recent commentary (“The 50-Basis-Point Cut”), I suggested that we would be in for a period of substantial market volatility, and it is likely to continue until the path that the FOMC is going to take becomes more clear.
  • Federal Government Efficiency Commission Trickle-Down to State and Local Municipalities
     Author(s): Patricia Healy, CFA | Wed October 23, 2024

    Blue graphic with photo of the author


    Elon Musk was in the news stumping for Donald Trump and bringing attention to his petition supporting guns and free speech, by offering registered voters the daily chance to win $1million dollars by reading and signing the petition.

 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch