Insights
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue January 23, 2024
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun January 21, 2024
Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sat January 20, 2024
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun January 14, 2024
The graphic below is a Bloomberg-sourced depiction of what is happening to global shipping rates. (Hat tip to Cumberland’s Dan Himelberger for his help in finding the correct chart.) The chart therein is worth a thousand words. About 45% of Europe’s shipping normally goes through the Red Sea…
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed January 10, 2024
It looks like a budget, border, and immigrant-parole-exemption deal is coming fast so that a US government shutdown will be avoided in January. The usual 11th hour rules of Washington apply. Will Speaker Johnson end up like Speaker McCarthy after making a deal? That remains to be seen.
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun January 7, 2024
In the annals of research and analysis of war, geopolitical risk, and defense, one can find many “armchair generals.” They are in the mainstream media and on social media. I get emailed comments from some of them.
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri January 5, 2024
“…the incidence of household financial distress has increased for the most common types of debts. For credit card debt and auto loans, the incidence has reached high levels, equal or close to those during the Great Recession.”
Author(s): Daniel Himelberger | Wed January 3, 2024
Treasury yields declined precipitously during the 4th quarter as the Fed’s dovish pivot during the December meeting led to the expectation that rate cuts will be coming earlier in 2024. The biggest decline was seen in the 3-year, which dropped 72.8 basis points to 4.074% as of 12/26/23.
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun December 31, 2023
First, we want to wish all clients, referring consultants, business colleagues, and all our readers a safe journey with good health as we commence 2024. Next, since this discussion will be about the defense of our country, let me first make a “compliance” disclosure. The US Equity ETF…
Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA | Sat December 30, 2023
As we wind down 2023’s year in bonds, the long, strange trip is ending up at the same ten-year bond yields that we started with.