Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • Inflation and Capacity Utilization
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. & David R. Kotok | Sat May 23, 2020



    At Cumberland, we continuously have internal strategy discussions. We decided to make one such discussion, on the subject of inflation and US capacity utilization, available in the form of a commentary to clients, consultants, and all readers. Below you’ll find a summation of our discussion,…


  • COVID-19, stock market, some Senators’ behavior
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri May 22, 2020



    It’s no wonder that citizens, voters and disaffected non-voters, investors and market agents, as well as others who observe the United States, have a low opinion of the Congress. Behavior of one reflects on all. Nothing new there.


  • Cry for Brazil, and also for Latin America
     Author(s): William Witherell, Ph.D. | Thu May 21, 2020



    The coronavirus is tearing through Brazil, a country ill-equipped to fight the pandemic. It’s hard-right populist leader, Jair Bolsonaro, has dismissed the virus as a “little flu.” COVID-19 is spreading through the population of 210 million, savaging both the inhabitants of the indigenous…


  • Zika Vaccine
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed May 20, 2020



    What seems like ages ago, we wrote about Zika. Multiple commentaries became a pamphlet which was and is available free. Here’s the link: https://www.cumber.com/zika/.


  • Inflation/Deflation: What Do We Know Now?
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Tue May 19, 2020



    The most recent CPI numbers show a decline of 0.8% for the month of April, triggering questions about both a possible deflation and where prices are likely to go in the future. The fact is that no one knows what inflation will do in the short run, and all we have to go on, as yet, is fragmentary…


  • Good Morning to Betsy and to Liz
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Mon May 18, 2020



    My friend Betsy emailed me and said, “You’re having too much fun.” Thank you, Betsy. You are correct, as usual.


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (May 11, 2020 - May 15, 2020)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sun May 17, 2020



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.


  • Risking an Investment War with China
     Author(s): William Witherell, Ph.D. | Sat May 16, 2020



    Not having learned the costly lessons of a US-China trade war, the US government has now taken action that risks triggering an investment war with China that could have serious negative effects on the economies of both countries at a time when each will be seeking to recover from the heavy…


  • Trump Opportunity, Puerto Rico, Pharma
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Thu May 14, 2020



    My friend Dennis Gartman had a guest commentary in the wonderful and comprehensive monthly research publication offered by Gary Shilling (www.agaryshilling.com) and thoughtfully assembled and edited by Fred Rossi. I thank both Gary and Fred for permission to quote their work.


  • Comments on April Job Losses
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue May 12, 2020



    Dear readers,

    Here’s a meaty analysis of the Friday employment report.  Please note the link will take you to a $27 a month trial.  After you read this report, you may find it worthwhile. Please note: I’m a paying subscriber. Enjoy.

    -David


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch