Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • Inflation?
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Thu August 20, 2020



    During an August 14, 2020, lecture at the Center for Financial Stability, Charles Goodhart (former member of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee and professor at the London School of Economics) mused about the US’s current economic slowdown and the prospects for inflation that might…


  • Diverse Political Views & Markets
     Author(s): | Tue August 18, 2020



    The US presidential race may be tighter than many think. Let’s survey diverse perspectives on the race, its issues, and its market implications, starting with Nate Silver’s August 16 analysis at FiveThirtyEight.


  • Sunday Report: Gainesville Party Responses
     Author(s): | Mon August 17, 2020



    On July 29, I posed questions to readers in a commentary titled “US Stock Market Sectors and Gainesville, Florida,” https://www.cumber.com/cumberland-advisors-market-commentary-us-stock-market-sectors-gainesville-florida/. News had just broken about University of Florida Health…


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Aug 10, 2020 - Aug 14, 2020)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sun August 16, 2020



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.


  • Zika & COVID-19: We Need Action Now!
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sat August 15, 2020



    Dear Readers: This is an appeal to Democrats, Republicans, and Independents, House Members and Senators, and including those on the far right and on the far left of American politics. The nation needs you to set aside the partisan politics. Students, their teachers, businesses, investors, the…


  • Interest Rates and Yield Curve Control, Part 2
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri August 14, 2020



    This is part 2 in a series on interest rates and yield curve controls. Here’s the link to part 1: https://www.cumber.com/cumberland-advisors-market-commentary-interest-rates-and-yield-curve-control-part-1/


  • A Quick Look at Job Creation
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Wed August 12, 2020



    Each month, the BLS produces a wealth of data from both its household survey and its establishment survey. The latter, in particular, gives us a view of where jobs are actually being created during this terrible pandemic. Normally, the data widely cited from these surveys are seasonally adjusted,…
  • Managing Hurricane Risk in a Bond Portfolio
     Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA & Patricia Healy, CFA | Tue August 11, 2020



    The Northeast continues to clean up from Hurricane Isaias, which swept up the Atlantic coast to New York and parts of New England on Thursday.


  • Interest Rates and Yield Curve Control, Part 1
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue August 11, 2020



    “The Trimmed Mean PCE inflation rate is an alternative measure of core inflation in the price index for personal consumption expenditures (PCE). It is calculated by staff at the Dallas Fed, using data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).” Through June 2020, “The Trimmed Mean PCE inflation…


  • Paulding County, Georgia
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Mon August 10, 2020



    “All politics is local,” Tip O’Neill famously observed. (In fact, this former Speaker of the House wrote a book by that title.)


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch