Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • International Equities at Year-end 2020 & the Promise Ahead
     Author(s): Bill Witherell, Ph.D. | Thu December 24, 2020



    During March and April of this year, the global economy and equity markets were hit with a severe shock from the COVID-19 pandemic and the widespread lockdown measures governments imposed in response.


  • Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary — CIO Overview - 2021 Market & Macro Outlook
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue December 22, 2020



    “Now what?” we are asked after a 2020 that saw a full-year market whipsaw round trip, coupled with a COVID-induced economic deep dive in the spring. The V-shaped recovery that followed is starting to falter. Let’s take a look in this 2021 market & macro outlook.

    Jim Bianco has given…


  • Florida-COVID Update
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Mon December 21, 2020



    As much as you may know about airborne transmission of COVID-19, something new may be learned from this video. How risky is it, for instance, to stand in line behind someone who is wearing a loosely fitted mask? Find out.


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Dec 14, 2020 - Dec 18, 2020)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sun December 20, 2020



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.


  • The December FOMC
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Sat December 19, 2020



    Prior to the Fed’s December FOMC meeting there was a general consensus among economists (see the December NABE forecast, for example) that the Committee would not change its federal funds rate target.


  • Fed: Data-driven?
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri December 18, 2020



    The chart below was featured in a Bloomberg column by John Authors, published on December 16 (“Fed's Last Christmas Before Biden Is All About WAM,” https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-12-16/fed-s-last-christmas-before-biden-is-all-about-wam).


  • Drones
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed December 16, 2020



    Steve K. got us thinking about drones when he sent an email with three videos, one riveting, one marvelous, and one “downright scary,” all of them about drones. We decided to explore further. We note that we are overweight aerospace and defense in our US ETF portfolios. As you will see, drones…


  • The Frog & The Scorpion
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Mon December 14, 2020



    We want to paraphrase and update an ancient parable which originated for us along the banks of the Jordan River, as it flows from the Sea of Galilee to the Dead Sea. The Jordan defines the border between modern-day Israel, Jordan, and Palestinian Authority territory. (For the original…


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Dec 07, 2020 - Dec 11, 2020)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sun December 13, 2020



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.


  • Siesta, Longboat, COVID, Masks & More
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sat December 12, 2020



    Sarasota-based, Cumberland champions mask wearing and other COVID-prevention measures. We also champion business.  We believe that Florida’s economics are better served with basic prevention measures in place. We would not lock down everything. We would require basic civic responsibilities…


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch