Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • February 9th: CFA Dinner and Markets
     Author(s): David Kotok | Thu February 2, 2017



    We are looking forward to the panel at the CFA dinner in Sarasota on February 9 (cfatampabay.org/net/home). Brian Singer (Wm. Blair & Co.) and I will be joined by Ned Davis, with Ben Padilla (Northern Trust) moderating. We at Cumberland have been users of Ned’s database for many years. It…


  • Higher Ground for Higher Education
     Author(s): Patricia Healy | Wed February 1, 2017



    In a post on social media, a friend lamented that her daughter’s classmate, a brilliant young scientist at MIT who went home to Iran over the winter break, could not get back into the country to start her spring semester due to Trump’s executive order banning entry of people from seven countries…


  • Markets, Economics, and Trump Executive Order
     Author(s): David Kotok | Mon January 30, 2017



    Below is the full quote given to a major news organization on Sunday morning at 6:00 AM EST. The question was about guessing market reaction and economic damage from Trump's travel restrictions.

    Treasury notes and bonds are not likely to sell off much. They may even rally in price as a…


  • Dow 20,000
     Author(s): David Kotok | Sat January 28, 2017



    "Dow 20k... But Don't Overpay,” says Adam Johnson, former Bloomberg anchor who is currently found at bullseyebrief.com/. We agree.

    We are still maintaining a cash reserve in our US ETF core and fully managed accounts. For some portfolio details see the report in Barron’s by Johanna…


  • Trump Administration Energy Policies: How Will They Affect Energy Infrastructure?
     Author(s): Richard Daskin | Fri January 27, 2017



    President Trump has issued an executive order to expedite pipeline approval process at the federal government level. The direct effect of the order is to shorten the timeline for the approval of the Dakota Access Pipeline (DAPL), which will transport crude out of North Dakota to the Midwest.…


  • President Trump: Bond Market Week One (Quick Update)
     Author(s): John Mousseau | Wed January 25, 2017



    The market euphoria of President-Elect Trump (rising equity markets and bond yields) has now moved into the reality of President Trump. The spadework of working with Congress to move his agenda has begun.

    Taxable Yields


  • Words Matter
     Author(s): Laura Mattia | Fri January 20, 2017



    The more you learn and the more expert you become, the more you realize how little you know…


  • Trump, Policy, Markets
     Author(s): David Kotok | Wed January 18, 2017



    As Don Rissmiller of Strategas Research Partners succinctly points out, “There are four types of government policy that can be used to steer the economy: 1) monetary policy, 2) fiscal policy, 3) regulatory policy, and 4) trade policy.”

    We will use Don’s framework for today’s discussion.…


  • Japan. An Inflection Point.
     Author(s): David Kotok | Thu January 12, 2017



    Picture this story on the front page of the New York Times or the Wall Street Journal:

    japantimes.co.jp/news/2017/01/06/national/social-issues/japan-academic-societies-propose-defining-elderly-aged-75-older.


  • Eurozone Economies Gain Momentum Despite Political Headwinds
     Author(s): Bill Witherell | Wed January 11, 2017



    Leading economic data released last week indicate that European economies were accelerating as 2016 drew to a close. The political uncertainties facing the region, including elections in France, Germany, and the Netherlands, along with the opening of Brexit negotiations, apparently have not…


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch