Insights
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.
Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Wed February 14, 2018
One of the characteristics of a struggling republic is the inability to separate its central bank’s resources from the fiscal largesse of the federal government. Using central bank resources to avoid addressing funding of the government is a sure path to runaway inflation, economic decline, and…
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue February 13, 2018
“Yet there is also good reason to worry,” wrote the Economist on a page 10 editorial dated February 3, 2018. We agree.
Author(s): Patricia Healy, CFA | Tue February 13, 2018
The President’s infrastructure vision is now in the hands of Congress, which is tasked with devising a plan that promotes investment in our nation’s well-being. The vision includes over $1 trillion in investment over the next ten years. Infrastructure investment is sorely needed, as is…
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri February 9, 2018
First we must say that we think the market is now very oversold and panicked. That is why we were on the buying side today and especially so in the last hour. Most of the cash in the US and US Core ETF portfolios is deployed as of 4 PM today. The quantitative Lev Vol and Vol strategy…
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Thu February 8, 2018
Economic and financial issues will be thoroughly discussed on February 22 at USF Sarasota-Manatee. The confirmed lineup includes Sara Banaszak of Exxon Mobil, who has expertise in the energy sector. Everything from Puerto Rico Electric Power to offshore drilling to national constraints is on the…
Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA | Wed February 7, 2018
The bond markets have experienced a hiccup in the first part of this year, with the 10-year bond rising 45 basis points in yield, to 2.85% from 2.40%, and the 30-year bond rising 37 basis points in yield, to 3.11% from 2.74%. Our feeling is that these yields are rising in one measure to compete…
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue February 6, 2018
Fierce forces at work on interest rates … or are we just seeing a mild adjustment? There is no way to know. We are referring to US Treasury interest rates on bills, notes, and bonds. Some bullets follow.
1. It is clear that the newly installed leadership of the Federal Reserve want to…
Author(s): | Mon February 5, 2018
We have now confirmed a bipartisan congressional panel for the February 22 “Cuba and the Caribbean: What Now?” event. Florida Congressman Carlos Curbelo, whose district includes the Keys, which bore the direct hurricane hit, is joined by Virgin Islands Congresswoman Stacey Plaskett. The…
Author(s): | Thu February 1, 2018
Don Rissmiller is a Camp Kotok fishing pal, the new chair of the Global Interdependence Center, and a senior personality at Strategas. He is also one very thoughtful economist.
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue January 30, 2018
Strategas Research has compiled the year-to-date (through January 25) returns of major global equity markets. They point to Hong Kong and Brazil as the leaders, with returns YTD of around 10%. Of the others in the largest 20 markets, only two, Australia and the UK, were slightly negative. For…