Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • Trump, Trade, Will Rogers
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue April 10, 2018



    “It was a tumultuous first week of the quarter that has left the markets caught between more truculent tweets on trade from President Trump, and slightly more diplomatic messages from his advisors. Predictably China countered with $50 bln in tariffs of their own against a variety of U.S. imports…


  • 2018 Keynote Speech by Dr. Raphael W. Bostic, Pres. & CEO, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
     Author(s): | Thu April 5, 2018

    2018 Keynote Speech by Dr. Raphael W. Bostic, Pres. & CEO, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta


    In April of 2018, USF Sarasota-Manatee, Cumberland Advisors, and the Global Interdependence Center partnered to host a Financial Literacy Day with multiple panels addressing topics surrounding the economy and financial markets. Dr. Raphael W. Bostic, president and chief executive officer of the…


  • Tactical Trend, Q1 2018
     Author(s): Matthew C. McAleer | Thu April 5, 2018



    Well, that didn’t take long! The secondary indicators (sentiment) we mentioned as a concern in our 2017 year-end commentary (see Tactical Trend, Q4 2017) proved to be a bit too much for the equity markets to digest during Q1. The extreme bullish readings in late December and early…


  • More on Trade Wars
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Thu April 5, 2018



    Well, well! Who’d a thunk it?

    First we must thank David Blond and Bob Brusca for engaging in a debate for our readers. For those who missed it, the links to the David Blond essay and the Bob Brusca response are here:

    Blond: “Winners and Losers from Global Trade” – http://www.cumber…


  • More on Muni Credit
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed April 4, 2018



    My colleague Patty Healy discussed the muni sector’s credit scoring and status in her recent quarterly commentary. See http://www.cumber.com/q1-2018-municipal-credit/. Readers who missed her missive may want to take a look at it, as it recites lots of evidence of upgrades and…


  • Q1 2018 Municipal Credit
     Author(s): Patricia Healy, CFA | Sat March 31, 2018



    Ratings, Teachers’ Strikes, Pensions, Higher Education


  • Why David Blond is Wrong on Trade
     Author(s): Robert Brusca | Sat March 31, 2018



    We thank readers for their thoughtful responses to David Blond's guest paper on trade and tariffs, Winners and Losers from Global Trade. That paper triggered debate. Below is Bob Brusca’s rebuttal. Enjoy the debate as each person can decide her/his own viewpoint.


  • Asia Equity Markets: Solid Economic Growth Versus Political Risk
     Author(s): Bill Witherell, Ph.D. | Fri March 30, 2018



    Asian economies have begun the year with continued solid – and in some cases robust –performance. Yet the major Asian stock markets have diverged, with some significantly outperforming and others underperforming. In this note we focus on Japan, China, and India.


  • SPIVA and Active Bond Management
     Author(s): Gabriel Hament | Wed March 28, 2018



    Active Equity Fund Managers Stuck in the Rough, While Active Bond Managers Tend to Stay on the Fairway


  • Dovish or Hawkish?
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Tue March 27, 2018



    Chairman Powell held his first press conference following the FOMC meeting. It was more concise but just as informative as those of his predecessor. As expected, the FOMC raised the target range for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points, and Chairman Powell delivered a message consistent…


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch