Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • Yogi Berra, the Fed’s Balance Sheet, and Liquidity
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Sat December 29, 2018



    The story is that the Fed’s quantitative easing program injected large amounts of liquidity into financial markets, causing bond rates to fall and stock prices to accelerate. Consequently, the argument goes that, the shrinking of the Fed’s balance sheet through maturity runoff will cause bond…


  • Happy Holidays!
     Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA | Tue December 25, 2018



    We wish all the best to our readers and friends for the holidays. We hope you enjoy some great days with your families and friends and look forward to a prosperous 2019. We wish a great new year for all of you and particularly those less fortunate. And hope everyone in their own ways…


  • More Evidence Supporting a 60/40 Portfolio
     Author(s): Gabriel Hament | Tue December 25, 2018



    Earlier this summer we wrote about the FY 2017 returns (July 1, 2016 – June 31, 2017) reported in the NACUBO-Commonfund Study of Endowments® (NCSE).[1]


  • Stock Market and Tariff Truce
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sat December 22, 2018



    We constantly get email defending the Trump-Navarro Trade War policy. The critics outnumber the defenders, but we can observe that both sides of this debate are digging in their heels.


  • Is Climate Warming Creating More Dangerous Hurricanes?
     Author(s): Bob Bunting | Sat December 22, 2018



    Two Hard-Hitting Hurricane Seasons


  • Market Backlash
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Sat December 22, 2018



    The Treasury market had priced in a 25-basis-point increase in the FOMC’s target range for federal funds prior to the FOMC’s December 18–19 meeting. The Committee was faced with essentially three policy options: Pause, deliver on the 25-basis-point increase and signal a pause, or deliver on the…


  • 4Q 2018 Review: Market Volatility
     Author(s): Leo Chen, Ph.D. | Thu December 20, 2018



    From the trade war to the Fed, the fourth quarter of 2018 has been full of uncertainty, which is markets’ least favorite scenario.

     


  • The Global Economy Moderation & International Equity Markets
     Author(s): William Witherell, Ph.D. | Wed December 19, 2018



    As 2018 draws to a close, economic growth in almost all economies, including that of the US, is moderating but is still expansionary and in most cases remains above long-term trends.


  • Leveraged ETF Tracking Error
     Author(s): Leo Chen, Ph.D. | Sat December 15, 2018



    We discussed the goal of leveraged ETFs previously – to provide daily returns that match the desired ratio over the underlying index (https://www.cumber.com/margin-trading-vs-leveraged-etfs/).


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch