Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • Manicures and Oenophiles
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue December 24, 2019



    We’ve written previously about the new TLRwire service introduced by Philippa Dunne and Doug Henwood. Readers who want to view a sample or subscribe can go here: https://www.tlranalytics.com/subscriptions/tlr-wire. I’m a paying subscriber myself, and I’m recommending TLRwire because I think it…


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Dec 16, 2019 - Dec 20, 2019)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sun December 22, 2019



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.


  • Impeachment, Markets, NIRP, Clark Gable
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sat December 21, 2019



    In the famous 1939 movie Gone with the Wind, Scarlet O’Hara (Vivien Leigh) delivers this poignant entreaty to Rhett Butler (Clark Gable): “Where shall I go? What shall I do?”


  • New Trends in Charitable Giving & Declining Confidence in Institutions Examined
     Author(s): Gabriel Hament | Fri December 20, 2019



    Over the last few decades, trust in key public institutions has been eroding. Here are some recent figures compiled by Gallup (https://news.gallup.com/poll/1597/confidence-institutions.aspx) that document this trend:


  • Paul Volcker
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Thu December 19, 2019



    Many have written, interviewed, and commented about the passing of Paul Volcker. We particularly like the commentary of Chris Whalen, who knew him better than many and whose  family had connections with Paul Volcker over the years. We also note our GIC colleague Catherine Mann’s remembrance…


  • FOMC ZZZZZZZZZZZZ
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Tue December 17, 2019



    “Boring” was how commentators on at least one network characterized the FOMC’s December 11th decision to hold rates constant.


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Dec 09, 2019 - Dec 13, 2019)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Mon December 16, 2019



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.


  • Year-End & 2020 Forecast Note #6: Jobs & Wages
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sat December 14, 2019



    Markets greeted the most recent monthly employment report with a rousing cheer and a robust and broadening stock market rally; bonds reacted to an improved outlook based on this report; and interest rates rose while the futures market of the short-term policy rate (fed funds) adjusted to a lower…


  • Year-End & 2020 Forecast Note #5: Energy
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Thu December 12, 2019



    The worst-performing US stock market sector in 2019 is energy. In retrospect, we regret that we held a position in it. Our rationale failed so far and the timing was clearly poor.  But we did hold energy and we do still do.


  • Will Emerging-Market Equities Finally Outperform in 2020?
     Author(s): | Wed December 11, 2019



    Following outflows from emerging-market equity funds during the first three quarters of 2019, significant inflows are occurring in the fourth quarter as investor sentiment becomes more positive, anticipating stronger performance for this asset class in 2020.


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch