Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

SUBSCRIBE TO MARKET COMMENTARY
  • 4Q 2019 Review: International Equity Markets
     Author(s): William Witherell, Ph.D. | Fri January 3, 2020



    International equity markets – that is, stock markets outside the US – finished the year robustly, with the iShares MSCI All Country ex US ETF, ACWX, gaining 7% in the 4th quarter on a total return basis. For the year as a whole, ACWX gained 16.5%. While this was less than the US market’s 28.3%…


  • 2019 Q4 Strategy Reviews - Links to All Commentaries
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Thu January 2, 2020




  • 4Q2019 Review - Market Volatility / Leveraged Volatility / Sector Alpha Portfolios
     Author(s): Leo Chen, Ph.D. | Wed January 1, 2020



    4Q 2019 Review: Market Volatility / Leveraged Volatility / Sector Alpha Portfolios

    The S&P 500 has had a tremendous melt-up in the fourth quarter of 2019. With the Federal Reserve’s cutting rates for the third time in October and the easing of trade tensions between the US and China, it is…


  • The Pocket Veto (and best wishes in the new year!)
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed January 1, 2020



    We’ve received a number of emails about legal and, specifically, constitutional issues. We’re not constitutional lawyers: We are activist citizens, and we do read the constitutional literature. And we do examine the actions of our federal, state, and local governments as part of our work in the…


  • 4Q2019 Review: Tactical Trend
     Author(s): Matthew McAleer | Wed January 1, 2020



    A flexible investment strategy that strives to analyze multiple asset classes, Tactical Trend strives to provide long term capital appreciation while focusing on risk vs. reward opportunities. Capital is deployed in the primary asset classes exhibiting strong relative strength vs. indexes and…


  • 4Q 2019 Credit Commentary
     Author(s): Patricia Healy, CFA | Tue December 31, 2019



    Pensions, budgets, state ratings, climate adaptation, cybersecurity, and investing

     


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Dec 23, 2019 - Dec 27, 2019)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sun December 29, 2019



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team.


  • Year-End & 2020 Forecast Note #7 More gun violence
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri December 27, 2019



    This holiday season has come with ill tidings with respect to gun violence:

    “At least 28 people were wounded in 3 separate shootings across these 3 states this weekend,” CNN, Dec. 23, 2019, https://www.cnn.com/2019/12/23/us/three-shootings-baltimore-minnesota-chicago/index.html


  • 4Q 2019 Review - Total Return Taxable Fixed Income
     Author(s): Daniel Himelberger | Fri December 27, 2019



    During the Q4 of 2019, Treasury yields rose in the maturity range of two years out to thirty years, with the biggest increase being the yield for the 10-year. As of December 23, the 10-year Treasury had risen 24.5 bps to 1.911%. The Fed did elect to lower the fed funds rate again at the end of…


  • Bob Eisenbeis shares Personal Reflections of Paul Volcker
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Wed December 25, 2019

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Paul Volcker as remembered by Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D.


    Reading a number of the tributes to Paul Volcker, who passed away last week, and recitations of his contributions brought back my own experiences with him when I was on the staff of the Federal Reserve Board from 1976–1981. Among his key attributes were his integrity, the quality of his public…


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch