Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • US ETF Q3 2018 Review
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri September 21, 2018



    Third-quarter US stock markets have faced a formidable array of media distractions, ranging from hurricanes to Trump tweets to SCOTUS scuffles – and on and on.


  • The Rise of Municipal Separately Managed Accounts 2018 Update
     Author(s): Patricia Healy, CFA | Wed September 19, 2018



    Cumberland has utilized separately managed accounts to execute its fixed-income strategy since its inception in 1973, long before separately managed accounts (SMAs) were popularized in the early 2000s.


  • Yield Curve?
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed September 19, 2018



    A while ago we wrote about a one-time tax-code change and why it might be causing the yield curve to flatten. Here is that commentary: “Why the Yield Curve Is Flat & Why It May Steepen” (https://www.cumber.com/why-the-yield-curve-is-flat-why-it-may-steepen/).


  • Florida’s Red Tide: Possible causes, Who’s to blame?
     Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA | Sun September 16, 2018



    Jim Roemer (A.K.A. Dr. Weather) has been forecasting for the commodity and ski industry for over 30 years . He splits his time between Sarasota, Florida and Vermont, and has a deep passion and concern about the environment and climate. We found his work titled, "Florida’s Red Tide: Possible…


  • Markets and Midterms
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri September 14, 2018



    The countdown to midterms is now in full force, and the ads, emailings, snailmailings, and robo-phone-call invasions into our personal lives will all combine to show us the worst of America’s political ugliness as it now descends on our country.


  • Sculpting Fog?
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri September 7, 2018



    On Wednesday morning POLITICO’s Morning Money shared this quote from Bob Woodward’s new book, Fear, and opined on Trump’s intentions in the trade arena:

    “I can stop this,” Cohn reportedly said. “I’ll just take the paper off his desk.”


  • Report from Leen’s Lodge
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed September 5, 2018



    We start September with a cash reserve in our US equity ETF portfolios. Some details of our thinking follow.

    We wish our readers a Happy Post-Labor Day return to confront the 9-week run-up to the midterms. Other risk items include a possible government shutdown (not likely, in our view)…


  • Guest Commentary by Bob Bunting - It’s Getting Hotter
     Author(s): Bob Bunting | Thu August 30, 2018



    Bob Bunting, a friend, meteorologist, and accomplished professor, has offered his insight on climate change via this guest commentary, It’s Hot and Getting Hotter – The Case for Adaptive Strategies for a Warming Planet. We appreciate his perspective and invite you to join the conversation.


  • Venezuela Implodes, Neighbors Suffer
     Author(s): Bill Witherell, Ph.D. | Wed August 29, 2018



    Last week Venezuela devalued its currency, the bolivar, by 95%, cutting five zeros off the exchange rate. This measure was a desperate response to hyperinflation that reached an astonishing rate of 83,000% YoY in July, with prices doubling every 26 days.


  • It’s in the Stars
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Tue August 28, 2018



    As is the custom for Fed chairs, Chairman Powell provided the kickoff address to the Kansas City Fed’s annual Jackson Hole symposium, broadly attended by many of the world’s central bankers.


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch