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How Are We Doing?

David R. Kotok
Sun Mar 20, 2022

 

Cumberland-Advisors-Market-Commentary - How-Are-We-Doing-by-David-R.-Kotok

 

 

Here are two charts that enable readers to view selected Asian countries (not China) and compare them with large US states. We have the populations, their reported Covid-19 mortality rates for 2020–2021, and their excess deaths. The figures speak for themselves.


 

How Are We Doing Chart

 

Sources: World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com), “Estimating excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic: a systematic analysis of COVID-19-related mortality, 2020–21” (https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(21)02796-3/fulltext)
 


 

How Are We Doing Chart

 

Sources: World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com), “Estimating excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic: a systematic analysis of COVID-19-related mortality, 2020–21” (https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(21)02796-3/fulltext)

For a thoroughgoing and thought-provoking comparison of pandemic preparedness in South Korea, Vietnam, and the US, we heartily recommend Katelyn Jetelina’s recent post on that subject in Your Local Epidemiologist (https://yourlocalepidemiologist.substack.com). Jetelina is an assistant professor in the Department of Epidemiology at the University of Texas Health Science Center. As Jetelina notes, South Korea and Vietnam applied lessons they learned from their encounters with SARS and MERS to save many lives in 2020 and 2021. The US is now presented with the choice to apply the lessons the Covid pandemic has offered or to ignore them. Here’s Dr. Jetelina’s analysis:

“Pandemic Preparedness: S. Korea, Vietnam, and…the US?” https://yourlocalepidemiologist.substack.com/p/pandemic-preparedness-s-korea-vietnam?s=r.

Readers may note that in Singapore and Taiwan the actual excess deaths numbers declined. Why? The intense mitigation (masks, high usage of vaccines, social distancing) reduced non-Covid deaths from other causes.

 

David R. Kotok
Chairman & Chief Investment Officer
Email | Bio

 


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