How the Fed Can Help the Corner Grocer Keep the Lights On

March 13, 2020

Cumberland-Advisors-David-Kotok-In-The-News

Excerpt below...

Cheaper Gas = A $1.4B Tax Cut

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary

by Cumberland Advisors

March 10: The Saudi-Russia price war means OPEC disarray and a lower oil price for the U.S.

The Energy Information Administration (EIA) reports: “In 2019, about 142.23 billion gallons (or about 3.39 billion barrels) of finished motor gasoline were consumed in the United States, an average of about 389.68 million gallons (or about 9.28 million barrels) per day.”

Let’s look at the impact of a price change. If the Saudi-Russia oil-price war lasts a year, for the American economy every penny per gallon that the gas price declines will be equivalent to a $1.4 billion consumption tax cut for the American economy. Estimates of the likely gasoline price change now range from a 30 to 40 cents per gallon cut to a 70 to 80 cents per gallon cut. No one estimates the price will rise.

Read more "How the Fed Can Help the Corner Grocer Keep the Lights On" at Barron's website (Paywall):  https://www.barrons.com/articles/how-the-fed-can-help-the-corner-grocer-keep-the-lights-on-51584138193


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Cumberland Advisors Market Commentaries offer insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies.

David R. Kotok
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