Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • Ukraine & China Reader Responses
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Mon January 31, 2022

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Ukraine & China Reader Responses by David R. Kotok


    We recently published two geopolitical discussions, on Ukraine (https://www.cumber.com/market-commentary/ukraine) and China (https://www.cumber.com/market-commentary/china-0). We thank readers for their replies. We will share a few below.  But first we want to remind readers that our portfolio…


  • Georgia
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun January 30, 2022

    Commentary - Georgia-by-David-R.-Kotok


    We’ve used the phrase “a picture is worth a thousand words” before. Well, here we go again. Let’s start with this one.

     

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    The chart above says it all. But now…


  • This Time Is Different
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Thu January 27, 2022

    This Time Is Different by Robert Eisenbeis, Ph. D.


    As we at Cumberland expected, the FOMC left its target rate unchanged at 0%–0.25% and made only a small adjustment to its asset purchase program, cutting its purchases of Treasuries to $20 billion and purchases of mortgage-backed securities to $10 billion per month. The Committee also reaffirmed…


  • China
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue January 25, 2022

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - China by David R. Kotok (Jan 2022)


    I asked my colleague Matt McAleer to calculate the weight of the total China stock market exposure in our International ETF portfolio strategy. He sent back: “No direct exposure. Pick up an allocation thru ACWX. We are 2% vs. benchmark 8%”.  

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  • Ukraine
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Mon January 24, 2022

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Ukraine by David R. Kotok


    There’s a lot to know about the current situation in Ukraine. So below is a link to a multifaceted discussion about Ukraine and the geopolitical risk elements there, including the Turkey connection. Many thanks to the Foreign Policy Research Institute for their ongoing contribution to the…


  • Game plan! – Cumberland Advisors Special Update
     Author(s): Matthew C. McAleer | Mon January 24, 2022

    Cumberland-Advisors-Special-Update-Jan-24-2022


    Cumberland Advisors Special Update

    Game Plan! Today's Date: January 24, 2022

     

     

    Dear Clients & Friends, Matt McAleer, Executive Vice President & Director of Equity…


  • Sunday with Beveridge Curves
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun January 23, 2022

    Sunday with Beveridge Curves


    The link below takes you to Cumberland’s website, where 36 slides depict various United States labor force metrics, before and during the pandemic period. We’ve used the Beveridge curve concept to create the slides.

     

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  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Jan 17, 2022 - Jan 21, 2022)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sat January 22, 2022

    Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Jan 17, 2022 - Jan 21, 2022)


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    Thank you for watching Cumberland Advisors' Friday, January 21, 2022 Week In Review, an end-of-week update on market conditions, equities & bonds with with Matt McAleer, Executive Vice President & Director of Equity…


  • "Something Weird": a Brent Donnelly Guest Commentary
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri January 21, 2022

    Something Weird, a Brent Donnelly Guest Commentary


    Brent Donnelly, president of Spectra Markets, and a Camp Kotok attendee, sent along the following piece with the note, “Some alarming charts for you today. Keep an open mind on the US economy in 2022.”

     

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  • The Fed & The Fires!
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Thu January 20, 2022

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - The Fed & The Fires by David R. Kotok with guest Bob Bunting


    When she was testifying at her US Senate confirmation hearing, Fed Governor Lael Brainard fielded questions about the Fed and its “climate change” policy. This is a hot subject in the monetary economics and central banking world. One side of the debate says that the Fed should keep out of this…


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch