Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • The Muni Turnaround – Munis Stage Big Comeback
     Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA | Mon November 20, 2023

    The Muni Turnaround – Munis Stage Big Comeback


    The tax-free municipal bond market has staged one of the best comebacks since Lazarus over the past month. We have seen a dramatic improvement in the market, with bond yields dropping substantially across the entire curve. The graph below shows the AA municipal yield curves on 10/19 and 11/16…


  • The Volatility Backstory
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun November 19, 2023

    The Volatility Backstory


    We’re sending this on the Sunday bookended by the week that celebrated America’s veterans and the week of the traditional American gathering of Thanksgiving. We wish all readers goodwill and safety in their travels.   Let’s take a deep breath and tackle the volatility in financial markets caused…


  • Fully Invested
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun November 12, 2023

    Fully Invested


    “When things change, I change” is a shorter version of the famous quote widely attributed to John Maynard Keynes. “When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir?” has thousands of attributions to Keynes, but I cannot find one source of the original quote.


  • Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - The Rise of Separately Managed Accounts – Fall 2023
     Author(s): Patricia Healy, CFA | Wed November 8, 2023

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - The Rise of Separately Managed Accounts – Fall 2023 by Patricia Healy, CFA


    Cumberland has utilized separately managed accounts (SMAs) to execute its fixed-income strategy since the company’s inception in 1973, long before SMAs were popularized in the early 2000s. The reasons for managing money in this fashion are the same today as they were then:  


  • Guest words from Lyric Hughes Hale on the Global Outlook for War or Peace
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun November 5, 2023

    Words from Lyric Hughes Hale


    My friend Lyric Hughes Hale opened her recent missive with this thought provoking paragraph:

     


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review + Digest Oct 30 - Nov 03, 2023
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sat November 4, 2023

    Sparks Flying — Cumberland Advisors' Week in Review



  • November 2023 FOMC Meeting
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Fri November 3, 2023

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - November 2023 FOMC Meeting by Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D.


    To no one’s surprise, the FOMC held its target rate for the federal funds rate constant at 5.25% to 5.5%. The main story emerged in the post-meeting press conference, where a wide range of issues were discussed. The first question set the stage for the main takeaway from the meeting.


  • Economic and Financial Markets Review, October 2023
     Author(s): David W. Berson, Ph.D. | Thu November 2, 2023

    Economic and Financial Markets Review, October 2023 by David W. Berson, Ph.D.


     Summary


  • Financial Cost of Chaos Is Rising
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun October 29, 2023

    Financial Cost of Chaos is Rising


    I will start this Sunday’s commentary with an excerpt from an exchange I had with a seasoned Washington insider:


  • Q3 2023 Municipal Credit Commentary – Another Eventful Quarter
     Author(s): Patricia M. Healy, CFA | Wed October 25, 2023

    CA-Patricia-Healy-Q3 2023 Municipal Credit Commentary – Another Eventful Quarter


    The third quarter of the year was certainly eventful. The US government almost shut down twice and the US government bond rating was downgraded by Fitch to below AAA, emphasizing governance issues. Fed members continued to signal higher-for-longer rates, raising fears of a recession. Strikes…


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch