Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • Bond Volatility Rules the Quarter
     Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA | Thu March 30, 2023

    Bond Volatility Rules the Quarter (Mousseau)


    The bond market saw the US Treasury close the quarter with unprecedented volatility, spurred by the banking crises that began on March 9th, which saw the FDIC take over both Silicon Valley Bank and the Signature Bank of New York.


  • Economic and Financial Markets Review: March 2023
     Author(s): David W. Berson, Ph.D. | Wed March 29, 2023

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Economic and Financial Markets Review March 2023 by David W. Berson, Ph.D.


    Summary


  • International Equity Markets in Q1 2023
     Author(s): William H. Witherell, Ph.D. | Tue March 28, 2023

    Bill-Witherell-International-Equities — Q1 2023


    The global economy is in a moderate slowdown, with financial markets being whipsawed by tensions in the banking sectors of the US and Europe in the final weeks of the quarter.


  • The National Debt
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun March 26, 2023

    The National Debt by David R. Kotok


    For 50 years of Cumberland’s history, we have been dealing with the subject of the nation’s debt. Our country has been in debt all its constitutional existence. Prior to the constitutional period the fledgling United States experienced its first hyperinflation with the continental dollar then…


  • The March 2023 FOMC
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Fri March 24, 2023

    March 2023 FOMC by  Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D.


    The FOMC raised its federal funds target rate for the ninth time, to 4.75–5.0%, continuing its pattern of tightening policy rates in 25-basis-point increments. It also maintained its current policy of gradually reducing its holdings of Treasury and agency securities.


  • YouTube of Presentations on Russo-Ukraine Series
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Thu March 23, 2023

    Ukraine-2023-Session-I-&-YouTube-Playlist-URL-&-QR-Code


    On February 16–17, the Global Interdependence Center, in partnership with University of South Florida Sarasota Manatee and the Florida West Coast Chapter of the Air Force Association, held the first in a series of four programs titled “Ukraine: One Year Later.”

    Click the image…


  • 50 Years & More of Bank Failures + SVB
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun March 19, 2023

    Bank Failures


    As the trifecta of the Treasury Department, Fed, and FDIC moved to contain the fallout of the failure of Silicon Valley Bank, here’s how American Banker summed things up on that fateful Sunday night:  


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (March 13 - March 17, 2023)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sat March 18, 2023

    Simmer Down! Cumberland Advisors' Week in Review


    Cumberland Advisors Week in Review
  • SVB — Blame Game
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Fri March 17, 2023

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - SVB — Blame Game by Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D.


    Blame, blame, blame — the media, Congress, and others are blaming bank supervisors, deregulation, and previous administrations in an effort to assign responsibility for the collapse and subsequent fallout from the demise of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank.


  • When Something Breaks
     Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA | Wed March 15, 2023

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - When Something Breaks by John R. Mousseau


    The failure of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) along with Silvergate Bank and the Signature Bank of New York has created what is possibly an inflection point in the bond markets.


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch