Insights
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun February 11, 2024
In “Cuba Series, Part 1: The Bay of Pigs” (https://www.cumber.com/market-commentary/cuba-series-part-1-bay-pigs), I discussed our GIC delegation’s recent visit to the Bay of Pigs Museum in Cuba. I also mentioned the impact of US sanctions. Let’s use this commentary for some deeper details about…
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed February 7, 2024
A few readers have asked if the latest impeachment activity in the House is having or will have any impact on financial markets. In my opinion, the answer is no. And I believe that will be true regardless of the outcomes of the two present House impeachment actions whether targeting President…
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue February 6, 2024
By now, readers are familiar with the chart structure below. It is used to compare an actual municipal bond, the federal agency yield curve, and the US Treasury yield curve.
Author(s): William H. Witherell, Ph.D. - International Analyst | Mon February 5, 2024
Having attracted only limited investor interest for over two decades after reaching a record in December 1989, Japanese stocks surged ahead last year in a rally that came very close – within 6% – to the earlier record in mid-January.
…Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun February 4, 2024
I’m going to start this multipart series about Cuba with a report of my personal visit to a region outside the Havana area. Readers will see why shortly. So, here’s Cuba Series, Part 1: Bay of Pigs.
Author(s): Norman J. Dempsey, MBA | Sat February 3, 2024
Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Fri February 2, 2024
It should have been no surprise that the FOMC decided at its first meeting of 2024 to hold rates constant. Its rationale was based upon a moderating but strong labor market, a low unemployment rate, an expanding economy, and a slowing inflation rate, but still above target.
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue January 30, 2024
Let’s begin this commentary with a hat tip to my friend Chris Whalen (Chairman, Whalen Global Advisors LLC, www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com), who sent out the following tweet about “gamma.” In it, Chris is quoting Nomura Secu
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun January 28, 2024
Hundreds of millions of dollars spent; thousands of hours of media time consumed; incessant political punditry from the usual TV sources interspersed with a constant flow of disinformation from the auto-bot manipulators (even robocall fake voices); and continuous poisonous hate messaging – all…
Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA | Fri January 26, 2024
This is a brief overview of Cumberland Advisors’ thoughts on financial markets as we head into 2024. We are coming off an unusual 2023, which was helped by good bond and equity markets late in the year. One of our basic investment tenets is that markets revert to the mean over periods of time,…