Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • 4Q 2018 Review: Market Volatility
     Author(s): Leo Chen, Ph.D. | Thu December 20, 2018



    From the trade war to the Fed, the fourth quarter of 2018 has been full of uncertainty, which is markets’ least favorite scenario.

     


  • The Global Economy Moderation & International Equity Markets
     Author(s): William Witherell, Ph.D. | Wed December 19, 2018



    As 2018 draws to a close, economic growth in almost all economies, including that of the US, is moderating but is still expansionary and in most cases remains above long-term trends.


  • Leveraged ETF Tracking Error
     Author(s): Leo Chen, Ph.D. | Sat December 15, 2018



    We discussed the goal of leveraged ETFs previously – to provide daily returns that match the desired ratio over the underlying index (https://www.cumber.com/margin-trading-vs-leveraged-etfs/).


  • TNB and the Regulatory Dialectic
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Fri December 14, 2018



    Back in the 1980s Professor Edward Kane coined the term regulatory dialectic to capture the dynamics of how regulated financial institutions found innovative ways to circumvent regulations designed to restrict their behavior. For example, banks adopted the one-bank holding company form in the late…
  • January 25th & Gary Shilling
     Author(s): | Wed December 12, 2018



    Gary Shilling is an icon of our finance industry. His monthly missive is priceless. Fred Rossi edits and researches. The work product is extraordinary. We thank them for permission to share the December monthly in full. The trigger for our request was their thorough examination of the climate-…


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review (Dec 03, 2018 - Dec 07, 2018)
     Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sun December 9, 2018



    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review is a recap of news, commentary, and opinion from our team. These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We also include older commentaries that our editors have…


  • Today's Employment Report
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sat December 8, 2018



    Peter Boockvar summarized a view of this Pearl Harbor Day employment report. We agree with him.


  • Trump Trade War Tariffs & Markets
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri December 7, 2018



    “We’ll not mince words here: The president’s characterization of himself as “Tariff Man” is juvenile and unpresidential. We cannot imagine Mr. Eisenhower, Mr. Kennedy, Mr. Johnson, Mr. Nixon, Mr. Ford, Mr. Carter, Mr. Reagan, Mr. Bush, Mr. Clinton, Mr. Bush or Mr. Obama ever... EVER... making a…


  • January 25th and California Fires
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Thu December 6, 2018



    The January 25th GIC-USFSM conference on adaptive climate change, Adapting to a Changing Climate: Challenges & Opportunities, to be held at the University of South Florida Sarasota-Manatee, includes discussion of fires as well as hurricanes.


  • The November Bond Market Bounce
     Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA | Wed December 5, 2018



    Here’s our first take after the midterm elections. The last three weeks of November have seen a bounce in the bond market, with intermediate and longer bond yields falling after spending most of 2018 rising.

     


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch