Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • Mother's Day
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun May 12, 2024

    Mother's Day


    I wish all Sunday readers and their mothers the very best celebration of their special day, which was formally established in America by President Woodrow Wilson in 1914:


  • Nose-to-Nose
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed May 8, 2024

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Nose-to-Nose by David R. Kotok


    I will start this commentary with a quote received from Politico Playbook on the Sunday morning after the 150th running of the Kentucky Derby, Politico wrote: 


  • May 2024 FOMC
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Tue May 7, 2024

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - May 2024 FOMC by Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D.


    This past week saw the release of a raft of important economic data which, in combination with the FOMC’s decision, have important implications for the path of interest rates through 2024. At the beginning of the week, we got the advance estimate of real GDP growth for Q1 2024…


  • More on Debt & Deficits
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun May 5, 2024

    More on Debt & Deficits


    First a short Sarasota restaurant review. Enough folks liked the prior one, so here’s another one. I lunched alone at Arts & Central, 611 Central Ave. in Sarasota. On a gorgeous spring day, I walked up with no reservation and asked hostess Kaylee for a table outside and in the shade. There…


  • AI: Test Case Study
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed May 1, 2024

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - AI Test Case Study by David R. Kotok


    Artificial intelligence (AI) technology is here and it’s evolving faster than you can say “AI.” Imagine the time you can save if you’re scheduled for a last-minute presentation! But one must be very careful.  


  • Rule of Law
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun April 28, 2024

    Rule of Law


    Dear readers: Please consider the following as a discussion point for every investor, board member, or any participant in any endeavor that may require a legal system to resolve any dispute. Thank you for taking a few minutes time to read. Now, let’s begin with a two-minute quiz.  Here’s a quote…


  • The Mag. 7
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Thu April 25, 2024

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - The Mag. 7 by David R. Kotok


    Datatrek summarized things this way: “Without 5 Big Tech names, S&P 500 earnings would be down 6.0 pct in Q1 rather than the consensus estimate of +0.5 pct growth. AMZN, GOOG, META, MSFT and NVDA are the difference. The ‘S&P 495’ are expected to turn the corner later this year,…


  • Rapidly Changing Geopolitical Events
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun April 21, 2024

    Rapidly Changing Geopolitical Events


    There are rapidly changing geopolitical events in the Middle East and Persian Gulf regions plus extraordinary political events in Washington as Speaker Johnson advances a bipartisan effort to pass defense related legislation.  The political extremism is apparent among the far left caucus in the…


  • Cumberland Advisors Week in Review + Digest, Apr 15 - Apr 19, 2024
     Author(s): Norman Dempsey, MBA | Sat April 20, 2024

    Cumberland-Advisors-Week-In-Review-Market-Update-Video-(YouTube-Vimeo)-2024-04-19


    The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review + Digest is a compendium of news, commentary, and opinion from or of interest to our team. These are not revised assessments, and circumstances may have changed in the market from the time of original publication. We may include older and/or guest…


  • Q1 2024 Credit Commentary – Will this be the year credit trends reverse?
     Author(s): Patricia Healy, CFA | Wed April 17, 2024

    CA-Patricia-Healy-Q1 2024 Credit Commentary - Will this be the year credit trends reverse?


    Interest rates and inflation are still up, but the Fed has paused and indicated that easing will be the next step. However, given better-than-expected economic data, the estimates of rate cuts are fewer and farther in the future. The stock market performed well in Q1, with expectations of lower…


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch